Why Dubai, in numbers

The market in one page: who moves here, how much the property earns, what you pay in tax and how it held up in a difficult 2026. Sources are named under each block.

4.8M
residents

+227,000 since January 2026, despite the regional conflict

917bn
AED of sales in 2025

an all-time record: 270,000+ deals

6.5-7%
net rental yield

against 2.6 to 3.8% gross in European capitals

0%
tax on rent and gains

a one-off 4% registration fee at purchase

10yrs
Golden Visa

for property from AED 2 million, family included

Prices by area, from DLD deals

Median price per square foot of apartments actually sold in the last six months. Ready and off-plan are counted apart: off-plan in the same area usually costs more.

AreaReady, AED/ft²ReadyOff-plan, AED/ft²Off-planSales in 6 months
Dubai South1,0881,7169,441
JVC1,2481,5854,375
Business Bay1,8112,4761,844
Dubai Islandsfew deals2,7231,133
JLT1,4362,4651,111
Majan1,3631,4191,070
Dubai Creek Harbour2,2812,5921,070
Downtown Dubai2,3773,564839
Meydan, MBR City1,9562,137786
Dubai Marina1,9544,142776
Arjan1,3731,669615
Dubai Hills Estate2,2122,443529
JVT1,2001,697498
Palm Jumeirah2,5665,605404

AED per square foot. Dubai Land Department, apartment sales for the six months to 3 November 2026.

More people arrive than homes are built

In each of the last five years Dubai added far more residents than homes. In 2025 about 212,000 new residents, roughly 580 a day, against about 42,000 completed units.

Population growth, thousand / homes completed, thousand
Dubai Land Department, Dubai Statistics Center
5010015020067 35 202172.1 38 2022104.6 36 2023170 30.2 2024211.8 42 2025
Population growth, thousandHomes completed, thousand
Residents per home
865,613 homes for 3,838,883 residents (Dubai Statistics Center)
Dubai
4.4
London
2.3
Germany
1.9
France
1.8

ONS / GLA, Destatis, INSEE

Buyers come from everywhere

13.3%

of buyers in early 2026 came from the UK

Germany (4.2%) and France (3.8%) are also in the top ten.

20.6%

India, the largest buyer group

Followed by the UK, Egypt and the USA.

43%

of investors in 2025 were non-residents

Demand does not rest on residents alone.

AED 917bn

sales in 2025 across 270,000+ deals

Jan to Sep 2026: AED 380bn+, the second-best nine months on record.

Sources: DLD via Dubai Media Office (Jan 2026), W Capital (Oct 2026), Harbor Real Estate / DXBinteract via Khaleej Times (Jul 2026)

Rental yield above home markets

Dubai net, after service charges. Europe gross, city centre (Numbeo, October 2026).
Dubai
6.5-7%
Berlin
3.8%
London
3.4%
Helsinki
2.8%
Paris
2.6%

Rent of €20,000 a year: what the owner keeps after income tax

Approximate 2026 rates for private individuals. The UAE 0% applies to UAE tax residents. Not tax advice.
UAE, 0%
€20,000
Finland, 30%
€14,000
UK, 40%
€12,000
Germany, 44%
€11,100
France, 47%
€10,600

Taxes do not eat the return

Approximate 2026 rates for private individuals. The UAE 0% applies to UAE tax residents. Not tax advice.

Tax on rentTax on salePurchase
UAE0%0%4%
United Kingdom20-45%18-24%5-17%
Germany14-45%0-45%5.5-8.5%
Franceup to 62%36%+~8%
Finland30-34%30-34%1.5-3%

Sources: gov.uk, BMF / EStG, service-public.fr, vero.fi, PwC Tax Summaries, DLD

More space for the same money

Square metres of prime property that US$1 million buys. Knight Frank Wealth Report 2026.

33 m²
London
34 m²
New York
37 m²
Paris
62 m²
Dubai

A stable base

3.67

AED per US dollar

The dirham has been pegged to the dollar since 1997.

+6.2%

GDP growth in 2025

The IMF expects a dip in 2026 and +7.7% in 2027.

AA

Credit rating

S&P AA, Moody's Aa2 and Fitch AA− affirmed in 2026.

Sources: FCSC via WAM, IMF World Economic Outlook (Oct 2026), S&P, Fitch, Moody's

Property can also bring residency

10 years

Golden Visa

Property from AED 2 million, about US$545,000. Off-plan counts once registered. No need to live in the UAE.

2 years

Property visa

Any value for a sole owner since April 2026, AED 400,000 per share if co-owned. Renewable while you own it.

2026 was a stress test. Demand bent, but did not break.

Since 28 February the UAE has faced Iranian missile and drone attacks. Tourism fell 44% from January to August, third-quarter sales by 45%, and prices are 1.7% below a year ago. For buyers it opened a window: discounts, longer payment plans, developers covering the 4% DLD fee.

+227,000

new residents in 2026

The population reached 4.81 million in September.

4%

of projects below launch price

Of 717 launched since July 2023, only 28 trade below launch.

AA

ratings affirmed

S&P, Moody's and Fitch kept stable outlooks.

Sources: UAE Ministry of Defence via Gulf News, DET via The National, W Capital, Cavendish Maxwell, fäm Properties, IMF WEO (Oct 2026)

Tell me what you need

A name and a contact are enough. I reply within an hour in working time, in English or Russian, and say honestly whether I can help.

Deals, launches and market notes on Instagram@orlov.dubai
+971 50 108 6910

Onyx Tower 2, Level 5, office 505
The Greens, Dubai, UAE

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